Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +7 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | UTAH -2.8 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.7 (+2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -2.9 (-4.1) | 131.3 (-2.3) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -0.8 (-6.2) | 132.2 (-3.2) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -0.9 (-6.1) | 132.0 (-3.0) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -1.2 (-5.8) | 130.5 (-1.5) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 4-16 |
| Home | 9-7 | 7-9 |
| Away | 2-10 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 7.8 (#46) | 10.5 (#27) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#65) | 1.42 (#59) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.65 (#40) | 1.99 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#90) | 0.667 (#41) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 53.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 18.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 47.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 34.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 37.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 78.0% | 78.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 16.4% |
Game Analysis
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