Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
| Money | YSU -245 SIUE +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +3 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | YSU -14.0 (-17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (-10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -7.4 (-10.4) | 141.9 (-6.9) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -8.8 (-11.8) | 145.8 (-10.8) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -9.2 (-12.2) | 147.0 (-12.0) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -10.5 (-13.5) | 145.4 (-10.4) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 12-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#106) | -1.1 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.42 (#22) | -0.57 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.75 (#19) | -0.74 (#222) |
| RPI | 0.633 (#62) | 0.493 (#192) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 36.8% |
| 3PT% | 39.7% | 14.3% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.68 | 0.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 39.5% |
| TOV% | 10.8% | 23.7% |
| ORB% | 21.6% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 37.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 23.4% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 61.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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