Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NOLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +5 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | NOLA -7.0 (-12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (+21.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -1.1 (-3.9) | 145.2 (+15.8) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NOLA -2.0 (-7.0) | 141.6 (+19.4) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NOLA -1.5 (-6.5) | 141.1 (+19.9) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NOLA -1.1 (-6.1) | 142.1 (+18.9) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2020 | RICE 73 – 62 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NOLA | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#236) | -1.1 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#251) | 0.88 (#104) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#260) | 1.35 (#99) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#269) | 0.662 (#42) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NOLA | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 40.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 25.5% |
| ORB% | 21.9% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.9% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.1% | 16.1% |
Game Analysis
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