Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | RICE -350 NOLA +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +11 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | RICE -15.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -12.4 (-1.4) | 141.7 (-6.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -12.7 (-1.7) | 142.6 (-7.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -12.9 (-1.9) | 140.9 (-5.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -13.5 (-2.5) | 141.8 (-6.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2021 | RICE 83 – 78 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#164) | -11.4 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#187) | -2.42 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#193) | -3.66 (#303) |
| RPI | 0.333 (#310) | 0.413 (#263) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 26.7% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.0% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.2% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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