Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +6 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | CSUN -7.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (+11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -2.5 (+3.5) | 141.4 (+10.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -2.8 (+3.2) | 140.9 (+11.1) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -2.7 (+3.3) | 141.0 (+11.0) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -2.7 (+3.3) | 140.0 (+12.0) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2024 | CSUN 89 – 79 UTU |
| Dec 12, 2023 | CSUN 80 – 75 UTU |
| Nov 13, 2022 | UTU 69 – 63 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 6-12 |
| Home | 4-11 | 10-6 |
| Away | 3-11 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L7 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.6 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -9.9 (#333) | -8.8 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.92 (#350) | -1.06 (#271) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.68 (#353) | -2.11 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.356 (#309) | 0.411 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.4% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.60 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.6% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 24.2% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 12.5% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 64.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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