Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | UTU +300 CSUN -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +10 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUN -21.6 (+11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.1 (+15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -13.3 (+3.3) | 148.0 (+20.0) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -14.6 (+4.6) | 147.3 (+20.7) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -16.5 (+6.5) | 145.9 (+22.1) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -17.1 (+7.1) | 149.6 (+18.4) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 12, 2023 | CSUN 80 – 75 UTU |
| Nov 13, 2022 | UTU 69 – 63 CSUN |
| Nov 20, 2021 | CSUN 79 – 73 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTU | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-26 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 2-14 | 14-6 |
| Home | 5-8 | 10-3 |
| Away | 0-16 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-4 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.2 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -12.4 (#346) | 9.2 (#53) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.08 (#321) | 1.84 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.07 (#315) | 3.11 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.415 (#294) | 0.530 (#133) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTU | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 32.6% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 23.6% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 37.8% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 34.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 62.4% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 42.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.