Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | CSUN -140 UTU +118 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +5 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | CSUN -3.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (+7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -2.9 (+2.1) | 142.8 (+12.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -3.0 (+2.0) | 141.8 (+13.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -2.7 (+2.3) | 142.3 (+12.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -1.4 (+3.6) | 143.3 (+11.7) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2024 | CSUN 89 – 79 UTU |
| Nov 13, 2022 | UTU 69 – 63 CSUN |
| Nov 20, 2021 | CSUN 79 – 73 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 7-13 |
| Home | 9-7 | 6-7 |
| Away | 9-7 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#213) | -1.1 (#188) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#226) | 0.60 (#131) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#266) | 1.16 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.409 (#304) | 0.550 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 27.9% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 41.7 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 79.4% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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