Let fury have the hour / Anger can be power. "Clampdown" - The Clash
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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42–12 on winners spread MAE 10.4 55 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Boston University @ Hartford +4.9 137.0 69% 75–70 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ East Tennessee State +4.4 144.6 73% 43–56 ✓
Campbell @ Marshall +3.5 145.3 56% 67–65 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ UNC Wilmington — — — 53–65 —
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Penn State +14.6 140.7 86% 59–74 ✓
Alabama State @ Iowa +22.2 155.2 88% 82–108 ✓
UAB @ South Carolina +6.9 151.8 70% 63–66 ✓
Presbyterian @ Cincinnati +10.2 136.9 79% 45–79 ✓
Marquette @ Ole Miss +1.5 147.1 60% 78–72 ✗
Oklahoma @ East Carolina -7.1 142.5 25% 79–74 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Northern Kentucky +0.5 152.9 53% 73–74 ✓
Stony Brook @ Kansas +24.2 147.7 88% 59–88 ✓
UT Arlington @ North Texas +11.9 137.3 84% 36–64 ✓
Ball State @ Florida International +0.5 137.4 50% 60–73 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Northern Arizona +6.9 139.1 78% 64–74 ✓
Nicholls @ TCU +16.4 136.6 86% 50–63 ✓
SE Louisiana @ SMU +18.5 147.2 84% 61–78 ✓
McNeese @ LSU +30.2 140.4 91% 46–85 ✓
Saint Francis @ Virginia Tech +20.1 136.9 84% 55–85 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Missouri +3.3 144.2 72% 37–54 ✓
Rutgers @ DePaul +12.8 147.9 80% 70–73 ✓
Samford @ Oregon State +9.7 127.7 76% 78–77 ✗
Washington State @ Idaho -3.9 151.1 41% 109–61 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Northwestern +25.6 149.1 89% 46–82 ✓
Elon @ West Virginia +2.3 136.6 61% 68–87 ✓
Indiana State @ Old Dominion +2.9 143.4 70% 77–36 ✗
Morgan State @ Seattle U +15.3 140.5 88% 80–93 ✓
Southern Utah @ California +6.9 138.1 76% 68–75 ✓
San José State @ California Baptist +15.4 149.7 86% 66–67 ✓
Arizona State @ San Diego State +12.8 135.7 84% 63–65 ✓
Nevada @ San Francisco +17.0 151.5 86% 70–73 ✓
Wyoming @ Washington -8.8 137.5 28% 77–72 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Portland +5.5 143.0 70% 74–86 ✓
Boise State @ Temple -3.8 131.4 41% 82–62 ✓
New Mexico State @ Utah State -2.6 142.5 37% 58–85 ✗
Bradley @ Colorado State +10.5 145.7 83% 60–66 ✓
Texas State @ Utah Tech -4.6 149.4 29% 85–65 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Clemson +4.5 131.1 67% 68–65 ✗
Davidson @ Pennsylvania -3.0 146.9 36% 72–60 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Massachusetts +2.2 136.2 61% 90–93 ✓
Troy @ North Dakota -8.3 142.3 29% 72–74 ✗
Brown @ Creighton +0.9 142.0 55% 57–78 ✓
Yale @ Vermont +4.6 135.0 69% 53–61 ✓
Oklahoma @ Indiana State -5.3 148.6 25% 87–63 ✓
American University @ Longwood +0.9 150.5 37% 42–82 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Cal State Northridge +2.5 144.8 48% 67–64 ✗
St. Thomas @ Youngstown State +7.0 156.6 73% 75–79 ✓
Liberty @ Iona -0.1 140.0 54% 50–54 ✗
Weber State @ Ball State -5.3 144.4 32% 85–74 ✓
Norfolk State @ Bowling Green +0.5 146.2 50% 90–84 ✗
Northeastern @ Duquesne -0.9 124.5 50% 71–55 ✓
UT Martin @ Florida Atlantic +5.4 149.5 76% 67–75 ✓
Towson @ Pittsburgh -2.6 137.6 45% 59–63 ✗
Hofstra @ Maryland +3.0 146.5 63% 67–69 ✓
Siena @ Georgetown +25.3 133.5 91% 65–83 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.