West Virginia
Mountaineers
87
–
68
FINAL
Neutral
Shriners Children's Charleston Classic
Elon
Phoenix
Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -14.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +19 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | ELON -0.9 (+19.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (+19.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -1.9 (+17.1) | 139.0 (+16.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -2.3 (+16.7) | 136.6 (+18.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -3.1 (+15.9) | 133.2 (+21.8) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 1-11 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#127) | 3.1 (#115) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.31 (#20) | -0.32 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.28 (#23) | -0.37 (#199) |
| RPI | 0.792 (#13) | 0.688 (#44) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 25.0% |
| REB / G | 26.5 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 43.3% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 12.8% | 30.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 40.9% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 50.8% | 56.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.7% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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