Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -28.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +39 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -28.8 (+10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.3 (-8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -22.5 (+16.5) | 142.6 (-11.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -30.2 (+8.8) | 140.4 (-9.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -28.9 (+10.1) | 143.3 (-12.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 4-10 |
| Home | 15-2 | 6-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.4 | 80.2 |
| Massey | 16.2 (#6) | -3.5 (#252) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#86) | -0.97 (#272) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#94) | -1.50 (#280) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#95) | 0.396 (#284) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.8% | 34.3% |
| 3PT% | 43.5% | 25.5% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.0% | 39.1% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 11.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.2% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 29.7% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 61.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.