Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAM +2 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | MRSH -0.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (-16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -2.5 (-4.5) | 146.6 (-14.6) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -3.5 (-5.5) | 145.3 (-13.3) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -1.0 (-3.0) | 141.3 (-9.3) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Game Analysis
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