Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -27.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +26 | 190 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -23.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.0 (+31.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -23.4 (+2.6) | 158.5 (+31.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -18.3 (+7.7) | 153.7 (+36.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -22.2 (+3.8) | 155.2 (+34.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -22.8 (+3.2) | 158.7 (+31.3) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 11, 2023 | IOWA 98 – 67 ALST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | ALST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-3 | 6-6 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.2 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 75.6 |
| Massey | 11.1 (#21) | -3.1 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#39) | -2.05 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.87 (#33) | -3.26 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.611 (#80) | 0.312 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | ALST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 2.38 | 0.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 11.0% | 28.2% |
| ORB% | 36.2% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 37.2% | 16.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.7% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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