Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -31.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | IOWA -20000 ALST +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +31 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -22.4 (+8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (+14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -16.7 (+14.3) | 149.6 (+15.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -21.5 (+9.5) | 146.1 (+18.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2021 | IOWA 108 – 82 ALST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | ALST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-4 | 7-5 |
| Away | 4-9 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.1 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 8.9 (#21) | 1.7 (#119) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#74) | -0.38 (#181) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#62) | -0.52 (#196) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | ALST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.3% | 27.4% |
| 3PT% | 50.0% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 44.0 | 46.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 3.29 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.3% | 34.7% |
| TOV% | 8.7% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.3% | 41.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.1% | 11.3% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.9% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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