Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEP +3 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | DEP -17.7 (-14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (-6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEP -7.8 (-4.8) | 144.2 (-1.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEP -13.0 (-10.0) | 148.9 (-5.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEP -12.8 (-9.8) | 147.9 (-4.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEP -13.6 (-10.6) | 148.5 (-5.5) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEP | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 12-8 |
| Home | 11-7 | 14-3 |
| Away | 4-9 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 8.9 (#34) | 0.4 (#165) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#110) | 1.44 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#124) | 2.30 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#117) | 0.542 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEP | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.1% | 37.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 21.7% |
| REB / G | 48.0 | 46.0 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 14.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.8% | 40.3% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 47.8% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 41.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 84.2% | 81.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 12.8% |
Game Analysis
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