Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Over |
| Money | TEM +205 BOIS -245 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +20 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | BOIS -5.6 (-14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.1 (+16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -5.9 (-14.1) | 127.4 (+16.6) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -3.9 (-16.1) | 130.2 (+13.8) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -3.8 (-16.2) | 131.4 (+12.6) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -3.4 (-16.6) | 128.8 (+15.2) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-12 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 15-3 |
| Home | 11-3 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 61.0 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#218) | 3.7 (#110) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#287) | 0.88 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#274) | 2.51 (#42) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#233) | 0.510 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 23.5% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 43.6% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 78.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.