Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +3 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | SC -8.8 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.4 (-26.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SC -6.4 (-3.4) | 149.6 (-20.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SC -5.0 (-2.0) | 143.2 (-14.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -6.1 (-3.1) | 150.9 (-21.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SC -6.9 (-3.9) | 151.8 (-22.8) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2022 | UAB 84 – 70 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 2-0 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#105) | 4.1 (#98) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#165) | 1.03 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#157) | 1.56 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#204) | 0.583 (#96) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 55.3% |
| 3PT% | 23.6% | 40.0% |
| REB / G | 47.7 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 16.3 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 2.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.3% | 61.4% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 10.3% |
| ORB% | 39.2% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.0% | 26.5% |
| DRB% | 81.0% | 64.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
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