Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | UAB -1600 SC +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +14 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -24.9 (-10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (+5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -19.0 (-5.0) | 144.4 (+9.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -15.5 (-1.5) | 146.8 (+7.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -18.4 (-4.4) | 147.3 (+6.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -18.7 (-4.7) | 146.4 (+7.6) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2021 | SC 66 – 63 UAB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-10 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 4-14 |
| Home | 17-2 | 7-8 |
| Away | 7-5 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.0 | 64.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 10.5 (#46) | -9.2 (#322) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#102) | -0.12 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.40 (#100) | -0.69 (#231) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#94) | 0.484 (#205) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 41.4 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 15.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 12.4% |
Game Analysis
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