Ole Miss
Rebels
72
–
78
FINAL
Neutral
Shriners Children's Charleston Classic
Marquette
Golden Eagles
Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +6 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | MISS -4.0 (-10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -2.3 (-8.3) | 148.3 (+1.7) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -1.5 (-7.5) | 147.1 (+2.9) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -1.2 (-7.2) | 152.9 (-2.9) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 11-8 |
| Home | 10-8 | 13-3 |
| Away | 2-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#91) | 0.5 (#163) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#118) | 1.18 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#116) | 1.25 (#98) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#183) | 0.604 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.8% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 27.1% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 2.19 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.0% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 7.9% | 35.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 26.2% |
| DRB% | 79.7% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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