Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDSU +2 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | SDSU -17.6 (-15.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (-4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDSU -10.6 (-8.6) | 132.4 (-4.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDSU -11.7 (-9.7) | 137.7 (-9.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDSU -12.8 (-10.8) | 135.7 (-7.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDSU -12.2 (-10.2) | 136.1 (-8.1) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2020 | SDSU 80 – 68 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDSU | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 13-4 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-1 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 58.1 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#59) | -2.1 (#221) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#93) | -1.19 (#294) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#83) | -1.21 (#265) |
| RPI | 0.646 (#64) | 0.420 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDSU | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 15.2% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 41.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 12.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.5% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 17.0% |
Game Analysis
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