Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +5 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | WYO -14.2 (+9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.1 (+21.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -7.1 (+2.1) | 134.2 (+14.8) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -5.8 (+0.8) | 133.8 (+15.2) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -8.8 (+3.8) | 137.5 (+11.5) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -7.7 (+2.7) | 137.1 (+11.9) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 13-5 |
| Home | 11-6 | 14-1 |
| Away | 3-7 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 65.7 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#291) | 17.8 (#5) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#275) | 0.67 (#125) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.57 (#285) | 0.99 (#117) |
| RPI | 0.313 (#315) | 0.479 (#214) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 33.9% | 56.2% |
| 3PT% | 26.4% | 40.5% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 40.5 |
| OREB / G | 16.7 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.50 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 37.5% | 63.8% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 36.5% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 33.9% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.7% | 35.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.9% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 61.4% | 81.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 8.7% |
Game Analysis
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