Betting Lines
| Spread | GTWN -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
| Money | GTWN -1400 SIE +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GTWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GTWN +18 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | GTWN -30.1 (-12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.7 (+18.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GTWN -24.5 (-6.5) | 133.2 (+14.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GTWN -17.6 (+0.4) | 131.1 (+16.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GTWN -21.4 (-3.4) | 133.5 (+14.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GTWN -25.3 (-7.3) | 133.5 (+14.5) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2022 | GTWN 75 – 68 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GTWN | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 15-14 |
| Conference | 0-19 | 12-8 |
| Home | 6-11 | 8-5 |
| Away | 0-11 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L21 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 69.2 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#166) | -20.5 (#358) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#221) | -2.91 (#348) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#190) | -4.35 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#241) | 0.407 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GTWN | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 35.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 44.5 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 42.3% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 16.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 56.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 12.7% |
| DRB% | 82.1% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.6% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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