Betting Lines
| Spread | GTWN -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Under |
| Money | GTWN -250 SIE +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GTWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GTWN +7 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | GTWN -2.9 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.9 (-7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GTWN -3.1 (+3.9) | 146.2 (-3.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GTWN -3.7 (+3.3) | 144.3 (-1.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GTWN -3.0 (+4.0) | 145.3 (-2.3) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GTWN -2.3 (+4.7) | 146.1 (-3.1) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2021 | GTWN 83 – 65 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GTWN | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 11-9 |
| Home | 5-12 | 8-5 |
| Away | 1-11 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#239) | -1.0 (#200) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#247) | -0.40 (#220) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#233) | -0.29 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#210) | 0.455 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GTWN | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 22.9% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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