Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
| Money | HART +145 BU -165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BU +5 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | HART -7.2 (-12.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.4 (+8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HART -4.9 (-9.9) | 137.0 (+8.0) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HART -4.3 (-9.3) | 132.7 (+12.3) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HART -4.3 (-9.3) | 135.9 (+9.1) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2022 | BU 102 – 66 HART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HART | BU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 11-7 |
| Home | 7-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-13 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#149) | 3.1 (#119) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#316) | -1.13 (#290) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.60 (#289) | -1.20 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.375 (#292) | 0.292 (#328) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HART | BU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 17.8% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 42.2% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 24.0% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.1% | 23.3% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.2% | 36.2% |
Game Analysis
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