Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | BU -1200 HART +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BU +36 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | BU -16.2 (+19.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.0 (+33.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -11.4 (+24.6) | 141.0 (+27.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BU -10.8 (+25.2) | 142.2 (+25.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -10.2 (+25.8) | 140.1 (+27.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BU -11.8 (+24.2) | 137.2 (+30.8) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2021 | BU 75 – 70 HART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BU | HART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 5-23 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 0-0 |
| Home | 9-4 | 5-10 |
| Away | 6-11 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 59.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#288) | -13.0 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#175) | -2.74 (#354) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#170) | -4.05 (#353) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#162) | 0.156 (#357) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BU | HART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.5% | 37.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 16.2% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.9% | 39.8% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 30.4% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.7% | 13.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.