Look out honey, 'cause I'm using technology "Search and Destroy" - Iggy and the Stooges
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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29–15 on winners spread MAE 11.9 44 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
George Mason @ Maryland +2.6 140.3 49% 71–66 ✗
Stetson @ Miami (OH) +27.0 149.7 88% 65–80 ✓
Michigan State @ Butler +6.8 137.9 66% 73–52 ✗
Drexel @ Saint Joseph's +11.4 139.5 83% 78–75 ✗
La Salle @ Delaware +19.1 154.6 87% 82–85 ✓
Lipscomb @ Dayton +1.8 138.3 52% 78–59 ✗
Binghamton @ Columbia +0.2 138.5 57% 77–85 ✓
Harvard @ UAlbany -5.0 143.3 34% 60–53 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Coppin State -0.0 140.5 37% 49–71 ✗
Charleston Southern @ Wake Forest +15.6 147.8 85% 59–95 ✓
Marist @ Princeton +1.0 150.2 60% 61–80 ✓
Rider @ Bucknell +2.2 142.0 56% 74–81 ✓
Toledo @ Oakland +8.6 131.6 74% 59–80 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Baylor +29.1 150.5 91% 47–92 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Arkansas +21.1 137.8 89% 80–93 ✓
VCU @ Vanderbilt +22.9 134.6 88% 48–37 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Mississippi State +25.0 140.2 90% 64–77 ✓
Montana State @ South Dakota State +8.8 163.8 77% 74–91 ✓
Oklahoma State @ NC State -5.5 144.0 26% 74–68 ✓
Tulane @ Florida State +22.9 148.0 88% 54–59 ✓
Omaha @ Kansas State +9.5 136.3 78% 64–79 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Texas +14.3 150.2 83% 49–62 ✓
Valparaiso @ Stanford +13.9 136.5 84% 60–74 ✓
Missouri State @ Sam Houston +5.6 143.8 64% 77–55 ✗
Texas Southern @ Air Force +7.0 127.6 71% 57–61 ✓
St. John's @ Indiana +4.3 145.4 66% 74–76 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Grand Canyon +18.3 135.2 88% 64–91 ✓
Utah Valley @ Long Beach State +7.7 158.1 77% 84–78 ✗
UC Davis @ Pepperdine -5.3 145.7 44% 67–72 ✗
Little Rock @ Loyola Marymount +1.1 142.1 62% 63–82 ✓
Bellarmine @ Saint Mary's +13.9 142.1 86% 64–73 ✓
North Florida @ UCLA +20.8 144.8 88% 63–98 ✓
UC Riverside @ San Diego +7.2 136.4 80% 62–74 ✓
Davidson @ New Mexico State -3.4 137.5 31% 64–75 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Boise State +2.9 129.3 59% 67–61 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Utah State +0.8 149.8 50% 79–87 ✓
Green Bay @ UNC Greensboro +6.8 126.9 74% 58–60 ✓
Clemson @ Temple +0.6 139.4 51% 75–48 ✗
Massachusetts @ Weber State -2.1 140.3 35% 73–88 ✗
Milwaukee @ Florida +15.8 134.0 84% 45–81 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ UNC Asheville -6.5 143.9 22% 55–61 ✗
Ohio State @ Xavier +4.1 139.2 63% 65–71 ✓
Charlotte @ App State +3.3 131.2 61% 67–66 ✗
New Hampshire @ Providence +17.1 142.5 84% 58–69 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.