Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +2 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | IU -2.3 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (+3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -1.7 (+0.3) | 145.1 (+4.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -3.6 (-1.6) | 146.2 (+3.8) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -4.3 (-2.3) | 145.4 (+4.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -6.9 (-4.9) | 148.5 (+1.5) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 8-11 |
| Home | 14-4 | 13-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 79.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#55) | 14.3 (#11) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#36) | 0.59 (#134) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.74 (#29) | 0.83 (#125) |
| RPI | 0.969 (#5) | 0.438 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 60.5% |
| 3PT% | 25.5% | 48.1% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 71.0% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 21.9% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 35.9% | 39.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.9% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 80.0% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.