Betting Lines
| Spread | FSU -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FSU +5 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | FSU -25.4 (-20.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.5 (-35.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FSU -20.7 (-15.7) | 149.2 (-36.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FSU -22.9 (-17.9) | 148.0 (-35.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FSU -18.7 (-13.7) | 147.2 (-34.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FSU -16.0 (-11.0) | 145.7 (-32.7) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | FSU 77 – 64 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FSU | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 14-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#39) | -7.4 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#138) | -2.04 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#106) | -3.23 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.698 (#48) | 0.158 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FSU | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 16.5 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 42.3% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 15.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.1% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 63.6% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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