Florida State
Seminoles
77
–
64
FINAL
Neutral
AutoNation Orange Bowl Basketball Classic
Tulane
Green Wave
Betting Lines
| Spread | FSU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | FSU -800 TULN +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FSU +13 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | FSU -9.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (-5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FSU -8.8 (+4.2) | 145.1 (-4.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FSU -9.8 (+3.2) | 143.0 (-2.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FSU -9.6 (+3.4) | 145.1 (-4.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FSU -8.5 (+4.5) | 145.8 (-4.8) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2021 | FSU 59 – 54 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FSU | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-5 | 14-3 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#75) | -1.8 (#191) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#68) | -1.81 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.05 (#71) | -2.06 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#63) | 0.389 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FSU | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.6% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.4% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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