Don't talk to me about your big, big heroes "Kelly's Heroes" - Black Grape
Bob Carpenter Center · November 18, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread DEL -7.0 Away covered
O/U 143.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total DEL win
Actual DEL +3 167 Won
Massey DEL -25.1 (-22.1) — —
Massey Totals — 158.9 (+8.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 100% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ DEL -14.5 (-11.5) 146.9 (+20.1) 85% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML DEL -16.1 (-13.1) 151.6 (+15.4) 88% ✓
Baseline ML DEL -19.1 (-16.1) 154.6 (+12.4) 87% ✓
Baseline Plus ML DEL -17.3 (-14.3) 151.2 (+15.8) 85% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 19, 2020 LAS 71 – 61 DEL

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DEL LAS
Overall 22-13 11-19
Conference 10-8 5-13
Home 9-5 8-7
Away 8-5 2-10
Neutral 5-3 1-2
Last 5 1-1 1-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 70.7 67.5
Avg Pts Against 68.6 71.5
Massey 1.9 (#132) -13.3 (#348)
Bradley-Terry 0.60 (#132) -3.10 (#355)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.89 (#121) -5.17 (#356)
RPI 0.362 (#296) 0.190 (#344)
Shooting & Four Factors DEL LAS
FG% 47.8% 42.1%
3PT% 32.4% 32.8%
REB / G 32.5 35.5
OREB / G 11.0 10.5
AST / TO 0.68 1.06
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.1% 49.6%
TOV% 18.5% 20.8%
ORB% 34.4% 27.3%
FT Rate 30.1% 18.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 60.1% 53.4%
Opp TOV% 17.6% 27.1%
DRB% 78.2% 72.5%
Opp FT Rate 22.9% 20.3%

Game Analysis

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