In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
Tom Gola Arena · December 19, 2020
Betting Lines
Spread LAS -3.5 Home covered
O/U 132.5 Under
Money LAS -170 / DEL +150
Model Predictions
Spread Total LAS win
Actual LAS +10 132 Won
Massey LAS -5.2 (+4.8) — —
Massey Totals — 119.0 (+13.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 60% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 68% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ LAS -2.3 (+7.7) 124.8 (+7.2) 54% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML LAS -3.6 (+6.4) 126.5 (+5.5) 63% ✓
Baseline ML LAS -4.8 (+5.2) 126.3 (+5.7) 70% ✓
Baseline Plus ML LAS -4.0 (+6.0) 126.7 (+5.3) 66% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 18, 2021 DEL 85 – 82 LAS

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LAS DEL
Overall 9-16 7-8
Conference 6-11 5-4
Home 6-3 6-3
Away 3-11 1-4
Neutral 0-2 0-1
Last 5 1-4 1-1
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 67.6 66.7
Avg Pts Against 74.0 66.9
Massey -2.3 (#189) -2.7 (#200)
Bradley-Terry -0.77 (#210) -0.32 (#180)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.70 (#185) -0.47 (#179)
RPI 0.458 (#195) 0.458 (#196)
Shooting & Four Factors LAS DEL
FG% 42.0% 38.9%
3PT% 37.1% 31.4%
REB / G 32.8 29.5
OREB / G 7.6 8.5
AST / TO 0.71 0.92
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.7% 46.0%
TOV% 23.9% 17.9%
ORB% 22.2% 23.9%
FT Rate 13.8% 22.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.9% 56.4%
Opp TOV% 20.2% 23.9%
DRB% 70.8% 72.4%
Opp FT Rate 22.2% 26.7%

Game Analysis

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