Boise State
Broncos
61
–
67
FINAL
Neutral
Shriners Children's Charleston Classic
St. Bonaventure
Bonnies
Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +6 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | BOIS -6.1 (-12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -2.3 (-8.3) | 128.0 (+0.0) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -2.2 (-8.2) | 129.3 (-1.3) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -2.9 (-8.9) | 129.3 (-1.3) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -2.9 (-8.9) | 129.3 (-1.3) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 12-5 |
| Home | 13-3 | 13-2 |
| Away | 9-3 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.0 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 4.8 (#84) | -1.3 (#209) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#133) | 0.40 (#153) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#95) | 0.46 (#155) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#142) | 0.417 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 16.7% | 20.7% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 14.0% | 30.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 38.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 82.8% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 14.7% |
Game Analysis
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