Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
| Money | LMU -1000 LR +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +19 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | LMU -3.8 (+15.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (+1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -1.8 (+17.2) | 143.7 (+1.3) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -1.1 (+17.9) | 142.1 (+2.9) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -2.1 (+16.9) | 136.7 (+8.3) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | LR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 9-19 |
| Conference | 3-12 | 3-11 |
| Home | 6-7 | 6-7 |
| Away | 3-9 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 64.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 75.4 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#309) | -1.2 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.65 (#317) | 0.65 (#122) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.44 (#318) | 0.78 (#130) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#171) | 0.750 (#25) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | LR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.6% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 25.0% | 13.3% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 27.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.58 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.7% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 37.5% | 16.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 9.7% | 32.1% |
| DRB% | 61.3% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.9% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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