Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Over |
| Money | WEB -130 MASS +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +15 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -0.9 (+15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (+19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -1.4 (+16.4) | 139.7 (+21.3) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -2.1 (+17.1) | 140.3 (+20.7) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -4.1 (+19.1) | 143.5 (+17.5) | 33% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 8-5 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#102) | 4.5 (#89) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.71 (#32) | 0.96 (#89) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.37 (#40) | 1.95 (#55) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#78) | 0.701 (#47) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 29.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 3.0 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.59 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 23.8% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 10.7% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 43.2% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.7% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 28.3% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 60.5% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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