But anyone who ever had heart, they wouldn't turn around and break it. "Sweet Jane" - Lou Reed
Levien Gymnasium · November 18, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread BING -1.0 Home covered
O/U 139.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total COLU win
Actual COLU +8 162 Won
Massey COLU -3.0 (+5.0) — —
Massey Totals — 135.0 (+27.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 15% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 3% ✗
Baseline Plus ML COLU -0.7 (+7.3) 136.4 (+25.6) 55% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ COLU -1.3 (+6.7) 136.5 (+25.5) 71% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML COLU -0.0 (+8.0) 138.9 (+23.1) 45% ✗
Baseline ML COLU -0.2 (+7.8) 138.5 (+23.5) 57% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 23, 2022 BING 81 – 79 COLU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings COLU BING
Overall 4-22 12-17
Conference 1-13 8-10
Home 3-10 5-8
Away 1-12 7-9
Neutral 0-0 0-0
Last 5 0-2 1-1
Streak L12 L1
Avg Pts For 66.6 65.7
Avg Pts Against 79.5 69.9
Massey -5.7 (#286) 1.1 (#147)
Bradley-Terry -2.37 (#340) 1.31 (#57)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.85 (#345) 2.18 (#47)
RPI 0.177 (#347) 0.646 (#73)
Shooting & Four Factors COLU BING
FG% 46.8% 44.9%
3PT% 35.6% 29.1%
REB / G 28.5 37.0
OREB / G 8.5 12.0
AST / TO 1.15 0.53
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.1% 51.2%
TOV% 20.2% 22.0%
ORB% 25.4% 32.0%
FT Rate 12.6% 8.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 61.3% 47.2%
Opp TOV% 19.1% 19.8%
DRB% 69.0% 75.8%
Opp FT Rate 27.4% 32.7%

Game Analysis

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