Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +7 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | BUCK -5.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (+13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -1.9 (+5.1) | 145.1 (+9.9) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -1.9 (+5.1) | 141.5 (+13.5) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -2.2 (+4.8) | 142.0 (+13.0) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -1.5 (+5.5) | 144.4 (+10.6) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2025 | BUCK 51 – 38 RID |
| Nov 24, 2024 | RID 57 – 53 BUCK |
| Nov 24, 2021 | RID 85 – 79 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-12 |
| Home | 7-6 | 7-6 |
| Away | 2-15 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#323) | -4.4 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.45 (#343) | -0.86 (#269) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.66 (#341) | -1.60 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.385 (#280) | 0.325 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 26.1% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 40.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 9.6% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.0% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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