Everybody's in despair, every girl and boy. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
Alumni Gymnasium (Rider) · December 10, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread BUCK -2.5 Away covered
O/U 135.5 Under
Money RID +130 / BUCK -155
Model Predictions
Spread Total RID win
Actual BUCK +13 89 Lost
Massey BUCK -1.0 (-12.0) — —
Massey Totals — 138.5 (-49.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 24% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 6% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BUCK -2.8 (-10.2) 135.0 (-46.0) 30% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML BUCK -2.1 (-10.9) 134.5 (-45.5) 36% ✓
Baseline ML BUCK -0.6 (-12.4) 135.2 (-46.2) 34% ✓
Baseline Plus ML BUCK -0.5 (-12.5) 133.6 (-44.6) 41% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 24, 2024 RID 57 – 53 BUCK
Nov 24, 2021 RID 85 – 79 BUCK
Nov 18, 2021 BUCK 81 – 74 RID

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RID BUCK
Overall 4-25 10-23
Conference 3-17 6-12
Home 4-9 6-8
Away 0-16 4-13
Neutral 0-0 0-2
Last 5 0-5 0-5
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 62.6 67.4
Avg Pts Against 76.8 76.3
Massey -15.9 (#354) -10.1 (#311)
Bradley-Terry -4.19 (#363) -2.06 (#318)
W. Bradley-Terry -6.53 (#364) -2.71 (#311)
RPI 0.390 (#329) 0.412 (#306)
Shooting & Four Factors RID BUCK
FG% 34.4% 40.4%
3PT% 27.4% 33.0%
REB / G 38.1 32.6
OREB / G 13.9 10.5
AST / TO 0.50 0.90
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 38.2% 47.5%
TOV% 22.2% 20.0%
ORB% 35.3% 28.7%
FT Rate 23.8% 24.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.7% 57.9%
Opp TOV% 12.2% 17.5%
DRB% 64.6% 69.1%
Opp FT Rate 20.6% 26.6%

Game Analysis

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