Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Over |
| Money | BUCK +115 RID -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +6 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | RID -1.2 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.5 (+13.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -0.9 (-5.1) | 149.0 (+15.0) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -1.6 (-4.4) | 144.0 (+20.0) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RID -1.4 (-4.6) | 145.6 (+18.4) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -2.2 (-3.8) | 149.3 (+14.7) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2025 | BUCK 51 – 38 RID |
| Nov 24, 2024 | RID 57 – 53 BUCK |
| Nov 18, 2021 | BUCK 81 – 74 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-12 |
| Home | 7-6 | 7-6 |
| Away | 2-15 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#288) | -5.3 (#269) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.60 (#342) | -2.21 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.62 (#334) | -3.26 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.309 (#344) | 0.296 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 37.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 24.6% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 39.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 41.6% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.1% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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