And I'm telling you son, well, it ain't no fun staring straight down a forty-four. "Gimme Three Steps" - Lynyrd Skynyrd
Sojka Pavilion · November 24, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread BUCK -4.5 Away covered
O/U 141.5 Under
Money BUCK -190 / RID +160
Model Predictions
Spread Total BUCK win
Actual RID +4 110 Lost
Massey BUCK -9.1 (-13.1)
Massey Totals 154.8 (-44.8)
Bradley-Terry 84%
Weighted B-T 91%
Baseline Plus ML BUCK -6.9 (-10.9) 145.7 (-35.7) 71%
Model 4 ML BUCK -4.6 (-8.6) 146.0 (-36.0) 64%
Model 3 ML BUCK -5.9 (-9.9) 146.3 (-36.3) 73%
Baseline ML BUCK -7.0 (-11.0) 146.9 (-36.9) 70%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 10, 2025 BUCK 5138 RID
Nov 24, 2021 RID 8579 BUCK
Nov 18, 2021 BUCK 8174 RID

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BUCK RID
Overall 18-15 14-19
Conference 13-5 9-11
Home 12-4 5-7
Away 6-10 8-11
Neutral 0-1 1-1
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.0 67.0
Avg Pts Against 73.2 71.8
Massey -1.2 (#188) -3.9 (#246)
Bradley-Terry 0.95 (#117) 0.58 (#139)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.27 (#122) 0.59 (#155)
RPI 0.517 (#149) 0.516 (#151)
Shooting & Four Factors BUCK RID
FG% 45.4% 41.7%
3PT% 34.7% 28.7%
REB / G 38.3 37.4
OREB / G 9.2 11.0
AST / TO 0.97 0.82
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.5% 46.7%
TOV% 19.1% 22.3%
ORB% 25.6% 32.0%
FT Rate 26.8% 28.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.5% 49.2%
Opp TOV% 17.3% 14.5%
DRB% 69.7% 69.1%
Opp FT Rate 19.7% 18.8%

Game Analysis

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