Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +19 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -2.1 (+16.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.8 (-11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -2.6 (+16.4) | 149.6 (-8.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -1.4 (+17.6) | 145.2 (-4.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -2.2 (+16.8) | 149.4 (-8.4) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -1.0 (+18.0) | 150.2 (-9.2) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2022 | PRIN 62 – 55 MRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-7 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 9-11 |
| Home | 13-1 | 7-6 |
| Away | 8-4 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.6 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#156) | 8.6 (#34) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#92) | 0.80 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#85) | 0.84 (#124) |
| RPI | 0.729 (#37) | 0.373 (#291) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 50.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 57.9% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 20.9% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.4% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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