Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | MRST +240 PRIN -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +7 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | PRIN -7.8 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (-29.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -5.2 (-1.8) | 143.3 (-26.3) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -8.9 (+1.9) | 139.5 (-22.5) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -6.6 (-0.4) | 144.1 (-27.1) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -5.9 (-1.1) | 144.5 (-27.5) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2021 | PRIN 80 – 61 MRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRST | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 23-9 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 10-4 |
| Home | 5-10 | 11-3 |
| Away | 4-9 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.9 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 68.8 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#315) | 7.4 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.15 (#331) | 0.80 (#117) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.94 (#344) | 1.86 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.292 (#339) | 0.605 (#78) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRST | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 53.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 39.7% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 60.1% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 19.7% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 16.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 80.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 16.1% |
Game Analysis
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