Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -21.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +13 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -15.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.2 (-42.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -12.5 (+0.5) | 148.8 (-37.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -14.3 (-1.3) | 150.2 (-39.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -11.5 (+1.5) | 145.8 (-34.8) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 22-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 13-7 |
| Home | 16-3 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.6 | 78.0 |
| Massey | 9.6 (#28) | 3.7 (#100) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#170) | 2.30 (#14) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#165) | 3.06 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#154) | 0.625 (#78) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.2% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 47.8% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 63.3% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 18.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 63.8% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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