Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -19.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | WAKE -2400 CHSO +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +36 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | WAKE -12.5 (+23.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (+6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -12.7 (+23.3) | 146.5 (+7.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -15.6 (+20.4) | 147.8 (+6.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -12.2 (+23.8) | 148.3 (+5.7) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2023 | WAKE 71 – 56 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#217) | -4.1 (#269) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#130) | -0.42 (#218) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#127) | -0.62 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#120) | 0.500 (#171) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.7% | 36.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 25.0% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.1% | 43.1% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 58.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.9% | 11.5% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 8.0% |
Game Analysis
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