Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -23.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
| Money | WAKE -4500 CHSO +1550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +15 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | WAKE -23.6 (-8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.5 (-30.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -18.3 (-3.3) | 147.5 (-20.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -16.9 (-1.9) | 150.0 (-23.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -17.6 (-2.6) | 150.8 (-23.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -18.1 (-3.1) | 148.3 (-21.3) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2021 | WAKE 95 – 59 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 6-10 |
| Home | 17-2 | 7-7 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 64.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#113) | -12.7 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#267) | -3.33 (#353) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.72 (#268) | -5.69 (#358) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#256) | 0.329 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 28.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 25.3% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 29.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 12.3% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 30.9% |
Game Analysis
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