Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +27 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | TEM -3.0 (-30.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.6 (-13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -0.6 (-26.4) | 134.3 (-11.3) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -1.3 (-28.3) | 139.2 (-16.2) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -0.6 (-27.6) | 139.4 (-16.4) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -1.3 (-28.3) | 137.7 (-14.7) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-12 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 8-12 |
| Home | 11-3 | 11-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#80) | 2.1 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#258) | 1.38 (#52) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#242) | 1.99 (#54) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#257) | 0.750 (#25) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 50.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 46.6% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 59.3% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 30.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.7% | 43.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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