Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +15 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | M-OH -27.2 (-12.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (-5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -18.9 (-3.9) | 146.5 (-1.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -27.0 (-12.0) | 149.7 (-4.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -24.5 (-9.5) | 148.2 (-3.2) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Massey | 9.9 (#26) | -7.4 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.48 (#12) | -0.93 (#275) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.47 (#13) | -1.47 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.656 (#68) | 0.375 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 35.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 22.2% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.80 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.0% | 40.0% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 23.5% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 19.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 6.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 58.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 3.1% |
Game Analysis
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