Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -25.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +29 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | KU -23.1 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -18.9 (+10.1) | 147.6 (-0.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -24.2 (+4.8) | 147.7 (-0.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -22.9 (+6.1) | 149.8 (-2.8) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 34-6 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 10-8 |
| Home | 19-1 | 13-4 |
| Away | 6-4 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | W11 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 73.7 |
| Massey | 13.0 (#14) | -0.9 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.59 (#14) | -0.07 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.59 (#5) | -0.04 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.736 (#24) | 0.688 (#44) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.3% | 34.4% |
| 3PT% | 40.5% | 21.4% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.64 | 0.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.4% | 39.1% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 18.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 3.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 58.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.4% | 4.9% |
Game Analysis
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