Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +16 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | NE -1.5 (-14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 115.3 (+10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -0.7 (-15.3) | 122.0 (+4.0) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -0.9 (-15.1) | 123.4 (+2.6) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NE -0.9 (-15.1) | 124.5 (+1.5) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -0.2 (-15.8) | 124.7 (+1.3) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2025 | NE 93 – 86 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-24 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 1-16 | 2-16 |
| Home | 3-11 | 6-8 |
| Away | 1-10 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L17 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 64.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 69.1 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#274) | -3.1 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.78 (#324) | -0.81 (#256) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.35 (#315) | -1.58 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#245) | 0.227 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.6% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 27.6% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 14.7 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.3% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 20.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.3% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 78.0% | 78.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 15.9% |
Game Analysis
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