Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | DUQ -340 NE +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +7 | 179 | Lost |
| Massey | DUQ -2.8 (-9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.1 (+25.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -1.4 (-8.4) | 145.8 (+33.2) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -1.6 (-8.6) | 143.1 (+35.9) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -1.6 (-8.6) | 144.1 (+34.9) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -0.4 (-6.6) | 146.3 (+32.7) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2021 | NE 71 – 55 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 7-24 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 2-16 |
| Home | 12-6 | 2-10 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.9 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 81.0 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#117) | 0.8 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#142) | 0.20 (#168) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#161) | 1.33 (#119) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#157) | 0.456 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.3% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 26.8% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.5% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.4% | 32.0% |
Game Analysis
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