Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -14.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +19 | 175 | Lost |
| Massey | KENN -1.3 (-20.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (+25.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -8.4 (-10.6) | 152.4 (+22.6) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENN -0.1 (-19.1) | 145.8 (+29.2) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -1.4 (-17.6) | 146.6 (+28.4) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -2.0 (-17.0) | 149.7 (+25.3) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2020 | BEL 64 – 53 KENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENN | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#151) | 8.6 (#39) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#223) | 1.52 (#50) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#216) | 2.73 (#37) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#127) | 0.715 (#17) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENN | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 33.3% | 49.7% |
| 3PT% | 25.6% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.38 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 37.8% | 57.7% |
| TOV% | 23.2% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.3% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.1% | 10.9% |
Game Analysis
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