Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -24.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | BEL -10000 KENN +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +11 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | BEL -18.3 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (-24.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -13.5 (-2.5) | 139.7 (-22.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -14.8 (-3.8) | 141.3 (-24.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -16.6 (-5.6) | 141.0 (-24.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -15.6 (-4.6) | 142.4 (-25.4) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2021 | BEL 97 – 78 KENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-4 | 5-19 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 2-13 |
| Home | 11-1 | 4-9 |
| Away | 10-2 | 0-9 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.3 | 62.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#104) | -9.7 (#290) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#107) | -1.11 (#232) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.01 (#117) | -1.78 (#242) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#149) | 0.492 (#158) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 34.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 18.6% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 37.5% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 23.3% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 13.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 11.6% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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